Theme for 2001:
Using Precipitation and Pineapple Express Forecasts to Operate Folsom Dam and Reservoir

June 22, 2001
Sierra College, Rocklin, CA

Speaker Presentations

The Influence of Tropical Variations on Wintertime Precipitation in California: Pineapple express, Extreme rainfall Events and Long-range Statistical Forecasts

Charles Jones, Ph.D.
Institute for Computational Earth System Science (ICESS)
University of California, Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara, CA

Abstract:

  • Overview of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
  • Synoptic Setting During Strong MJO Events and the "Pineapple Express"
  • Influence on Extreme Rainfall Events in California
  • Dynamical Forecasts of the MJO
  • Real-Time Intraseasonal Statistical Forecasts of Western United States Rainfall

The Revised National Weather Service's (NWS) Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) Process in the West: Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Requirements and Implementation

David W. Reynolds
Chief
Forecast Operations Branch
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
Camp Springs, MD

[Presentation not available]

Abstract:

[Abstract not available]


The Role of the Hydrometeorological Analysis and Support Forecaster in the QPF Process

Michael W. Ekern
California-Nevada River Forecast Center
National Weather Service
Sacramento, CA

Abstract:

  • Brief History
  • QPF Tools
  • QPF Process
  • Future Developments

Design and Validation of Real-Time Hydrologic Forecasts for the Folsom Lake Watershed

Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Ph.D.
Theresa M. Carpenter
Jason A. Sperfslage
Hydrologic Research Center
San Diego, CA

[Presentation not available]

Abstract:

[Abstract not available]


Forecast Based Operation: Folsom Reservoir Release Forecast Model (RRFFM-U)

David S. Bowles, Ph.D., P.E., P.H.
Institute for Dam Safety Risk Management
Utah State University
Logan, UT

Abstract:

  • Reservoir release lead times
  • Overall Modeling System
  • Inflow Forecast Model
  • Reservoir Release Forecast Model
    • Operational Version
    • Simulation Version
    • COM Version
  • Benefits and Status

Forecast-based Flood Control Operation at Folsom Reservoir Using Advance Release

Beth Faber, Ph.D.
Hydrologic Engineering Center
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
Davis, CA

Abstract:

  • Facts about Folsom Reservoir
  • Discussion of Advance Release
    • Streamflow Forecasts
    • Tradeoffs
  • Components of an Advance Release Strategy
  • Simulation of an Advance Release Strategy
    • Synthetic Forecasts
    • Sample Results
  • What next?

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